Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Canuckville, BC Joined: 01.09.2015
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Wow you really have a warped perception of how others view advanced stats
Talking about them the way you do proves you haven't really been listening when others explain how they can be useful or why they're interesting to look at. - NorthNuck
Hockey is a fast moving physical sport where analytics cannot account for let alone other circumstances that can arise. It’s at most a guide that needs long periods of sampling. Eye tests win. |
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Marwood
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Cumberland, BC Joined: 03.18.2010
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Are you fucking insane posting expected goals in here?!?!? You'll give one of these old men an aneurysm! - NorthNuck
Once again, being a f ucking idiot. Arrogant little pr ick. |
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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Hockey is a fast moving physical sport where analytics cannot account for let alone other circumstances that can arise. It’s at most a guide that needs long periods of sampling. Eye tests win. - Nighthawk
There's no "winning" or "losing". Advanced metrics can help give a more nuanced view of how things played out or are likely to play out in the future. They're an enhancement to the eye test, not a replacement.
If you go based purely on the eye test, you would think Boeser is due to score like 55 goals this year. We all know that's not the case don't we? |
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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Once again, being a fucking idiot. Arrogant little prick. - Marwood
I can only listen to so much bi tching and whining before I feel compelled to say something 🤷♂️
If you're gonna get salty about a harmless joke don't pick fights so often |
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There's no "winning" or "losing". Advanced metrics can help give a more nuanced view of how things played out or are likely to play out in the future. They're an enhancement to the eye test, not a replacement.
If you go based purely on the eye test, you would think Boeser is due to score like 55 goals this year. We all know that's not the case now don't we? - NorthNuck
You have that backwards. The eye test you would see what type of goals he scores and his style of play and know that is very unlikely. The eye test would slot him in around 37 to 42 .
The numbers or expected stats would slot him in at fifty five seeing it is based on numbers and equations.
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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You have that backwards. The eye test you would see what type of goals he scores and his style of play and know that is very unlikely. The eye test would slot him in around 37 to 42 .
The numbers or expected stats would slot him in at fifty five seeing it is based on numbers and equations. - VANTEL
They quite literally do not. |
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They quite literally do not. - NorthNuck
I have never seen one person on here say Boeser is going to score 55 until you said it.
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Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Canuckville, BC Joined: 01.09.2015
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I have never seen one person on here say Boeser is going to score 55 until you said it. - VANTEL
How about the best stat around…
Over/under 40 goals |
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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I have never seen one person on here say Boeser is going to score 55 until you said it. - VANTEL
Neither have I. |
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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How about the best stat around…
Over/under 40 goals - Nighthawk
That's about where I would set it. Most sites I've seen trying to project have him landing around 39.
I'll say over cause I really want to see him hit 40 |
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How about the best stat around…
Over/under 40 goals - Nighthawk
Brock will score 38 or 39 unless injured.
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Top line Canucks.
Hoglander JTM Brock
Hughes Hronek
Demko
Hronek is the only one not involving Benning. The man was a legend, I am looking forward to his Ring of Honor night.
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boonerbuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Not Quesnel, BC Joined: 10.11.2005
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Top line Canucks.
Hoglander JTM Brock
Hughes Hronek
Demko
Hronek is the only one not involving Benning. The man was a legend, I am looking forward to his Ring of Honor night.
- VANTEL
Trigger warning!
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Trigger warning!
- boonerbuck
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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Top line Canucks.
Hoglander JTM Brock
Hughes Hronek
Demko
Hronek is the only one not involving Benning. The man was a legend, I am looking forward to his Ring of Honor night.
- VANTEL
His name better make it on the cup in June |
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Top line Canucks.
Hoglander JTM Brock
Hughes Hronek
Demko
Hronek is the only one not involving Benning. The man was a legend, I am looking forward to his Ring of Honor night.
- VANTEL
Benning did some good things but the focus is always on his (frank)ups. |
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Makita
Referee Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: #theonlyrealfan, BC Joined: 02.16.2007
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Wow you really have a warped perception of how others view advanced stats
Talking about them the way you do proves you haven't really been listening when others explain how they can be useful or why they're interesting to look at. - NorthNuck
I only wrote that drivel in response to your old man having an aneurism.
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neem55
Vancouver Canucks |
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Joined: 02.02.2012
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There's no "winning" or "losing". Advanced metrics can help give a more nuanced view of how things played out or are likely to play out in the future. They're an enhancement to the eye test, not a replacement.
If you go based purely on the eye test, you would think Boeser is due to score like 55 goals this year. We all know that's not the case don't we? - NorthNuck
First statement is exactly right. Boeser stuff is up for debate imo |
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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Top line Canucks.
Hoglander JTM Brock
Hughes Hronek
Demko
Hronek is the only one not involving Benning. The man was a legend, I am looking forward to his Ring of Honor night.
- VANTEL
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NorthNuck
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Yellowknife, NWT Joined: 05.30.2016
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First statement is exactly right. Boeser stuff is up for debate imo - neem55
Yeah, I think maybe I phrased it poorly. All I meant is at the most base level, someone could look at his goal total and say "Okay well if he has 21 in 29, he'll get 59 in 82"
While any rational fan knows he won't hit that because regression exists. The bigger point is that we can get an (on average) closer estimate on what that regression will look like using advanced stats. Without them you're just throwing a dart to pick a number at random, no matter how good you think your eye test is you're still guessing, just while using less data. |
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Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Canuckville, BC Joined: 01.09.2015
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Benning did some good things but the focus is always on his (frank)ups. - Bettmanhatesus
Cap management he had no clue. All of the rest is easily forgotten. |
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Nighthawk
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Canuckville, BC Joined: 01.09.2015
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Yeah, I think maybe I phrased it poorly. All I meant is at the most base level, someone could look at his goal total and say "Okay well if he has 21 in 29, he'll get 59 in 82"
While any rational fan knows he won't hit that because regression exists. The bigger point is that we can get an (on average) closer estimate on what that regression will look like using advanced stats. Without them you're just throwing a dart to pick a number at random, no matter how good you think your eye test is you're still guessing, just while using less data. - NorthNuck
Game is played on the ice & many factors dictate results. Regression is a nonsensical word. Ebbs & flows can vary greatly & analytics are not predictive on circumstances that will actually happen. One season or partial season sampling allows the eye test to see a lot more as in line chemistry & deployment & scheduling differences etc. |
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Load Management
Season Ticket Holder Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: Billings Spit, BC Joined: 09.22.2019
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Yeah, I think maybe I phrased it poorly. All I meant is at the most base level, someone could look at his goal total and say "Okay well if he has 21 in 29, he'll get 59 in 82"
While any rational fan knows he won't hit that because regression exists. The bigger point is that we can get an (on average) closer estimate on what that regression will look like using advanced stats. Without them you're just throwing a dart to pick a number at random, no matter how good you think your eye test is you're still guessing, just while using less data. - NorthNuck
Sorry man, but it's a proven fact that your eyes and brain process information using far more data than mathematical formulas. |
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Gene Carr dead at 72, played for the kings and flames in the 70s. |
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