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What current player has the best shot of getting close to Ovechkin 895?

April 7, 2025, 5:21 PM ET [17 Comments]
Eklund
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they say their records are made to be broken…. But then again, Wayne Gretzky has more lifetime assist than anyone else has points…..so maybe not all records…

We are currently in an era of goal scorers however…. Way more players have gotten to 40 goals over the last five seasons, then over the 10 seasons before that….So who has a shot?

I started off by looking at the players who have scored the most goals over the last 10 seasons in the NHL….Oveckin is #1 in that timeframe with 421 goals in 79 games played…it took him to his 20 season, 1487 games to get to 895…

However, in the last ten seasom there is a player about 20 goals behind OV with over 100 less games played: Auston Matthews…398 goals in 623 games…He is in his 9th season…he is actually on a faster pace than Ovechkin in his first 600 games….

So if Matthews where to continue with this pace, how many goals would he get 1487 games? The number might surprise you, but ready? 949

Of course you’d have to play 1487 games and continue to score like he has been scoring his whole career so far….. but it is possible…. Also, Matthew’s game is more well-rounded than Ovechkin‘s game, as Matthews as rounded into a great defensive player…Selke favorite this year I think…

So who else?
Here are some of the top scorers in the last ten years and how many goals it calculates out to where they to play 1487 games


Player. G. GP 1487 projection
Auston Matthews 398 623 949
Leon Draisaitl 397 753 873
David Pastrnak 378 709 792
Connor McDavid 361 708 757
Nate MacKinnon 329 723 676

Who do you think has a shot?
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